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October 2017 Traffic – Growth Momentum Normalized to 11.5% YoY from Higher Base

2017-11-10 00:00:00 发布机构:摩根士丹利 我要纠错

大秦铁路(601006)

Volume growth normalized: As expected, Daqin Railway’s coal throughputgrowth further normalized to 11.5% YoY in October 2017 from a highercomparison base, down from 25.8% YoY in September 2017. Sequentially, the37.36mt volume remained largely flat vs. 37.39mt in September 2017, partlyhelped by a postponed maintenance period (October 25�CNovember 15, 2017) vs.2016 (October 9�C28, 2016).

In the first ten months of 2017, Daqin’s aggregate coal volumes rebounded30.6% YoY, vs. -17.8% weakness in the same period of 2016.

Demand remained robust: Daqin’s normalizing coal throughput growth inOctober 2017 was partly led by a higher volume base in October 2016, as thenegative demand growth reversed to 12.5% YoY.Average coal prices in October 2017 still improved 1.3% YoY and 0.7% MoM, toRmb620.0/ton. Coal inventory at Qinhuangdao increased significantly at 60%YoY, to 6.89mt (+18% MoM).Daqin Railway Co. Ltd. ( 601006.SS, 601006 CH )

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